Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.716936 3.955893 4.213167 4.512736 4.854569 5.235711 5.697516
2025-06-01 3.330781 3.645234 4.002737 4.445751 4.989717 5.649951 6.536135
2025-06-08 3.057445 3.418351 3.846562 4.405143 5.136397 6.097466 7.530202
2025-06-15 2.869883 3.267531 3.757151 4.426241 5.357438 6.684918 8.911264
2025-06-22 2.665026 3.073018 3.588749 4.317989 5.381700 7.002052 10.021770
2025-06-29 2.473953 2.878537 3.399721 4.155465 5.298080 7.133669 10.882970
2025-07-06 2.336678 2.742291 3.274396 4.065319 5.305344 7.412767 12.194854
2025-07-13 2.294498 2.726611 3.308836 4.207181 5.698036 8.480466 16.175948
2025-07-20 2.233367 2.679876 3.294306 4.271484 5.973110 9.431163 21.262898
2025-07-27 2.213484 2.687255 3.356158 4.461138 6.510660 11.212781 34.898822
2025-08-03 2.174090 2.663735 3.369284 4.571518 6.925256 12.978279 64.916343
2025-08-10 2.098796 2.584015 3.290850 4.515832 6.988398 13.803809 110.584667
2025-08-17 1.993866 2.462689 3.150580 4.356302 6.841221 14.039700 195.364645
2025-08-24 1.917551 2.379972 3.065981 4.289634 6.895869 15.097613 NaN
2025-08-31 1.852946 2.311359 2.999248 4.249108 7.007815 16.568924 NaN
2025-09-07 1.805499 2.265725 2.965907 4.267165 7.271783 19.177841 NaN
2025-09-14 1.738469 2.187416 2.874645 4.164930 7.207186 20.104274 NaN
2025-09-21 1.666683 2.099052 2.762335 4.012170 6.981210 19.888057 NaN
2025-09-28 1.612540 2.035440 2.687590 3.927274 6.926812 20.826572 NaN
2025-10-05 1.601633 2.037091 2.720618 4.059888 7.520060 28.323765 NaN
2025-10-12 1.578465 2.018535 2.718167 4.119846 7.928935 37.280101 NaN
2025-10-19 1.574914 2.030181 2.767859 4.296793 8.803319 69.426790 NaN
2025-10-26 1.559543 2.022217 2.782536 4.399553 9.488205 161.188587 NaN